Au.Tra.Sy blog – Automated Trading System

Systematic Trading research and development, with a flavour of Trend Following

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Entries Tagged as 'Trend Following'

Trend Following Wizards – July 2010 (RED)

August 16th, 2010 · No Comments · Trend Following, Trend Following Wizards performance

Negative pretty much across the board for the Trend Following Wizards in July, with an average monthly return of -1.55%, pushing a bit further in the red the average YTD return, at -2.90%.
Please find below all individual results for July 2010:

Organisation / Fund

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the State of Trend Following in July

August 2nd, 2010 · 4 Comments · Trend Following, the State of Trend Following

 
The “Summer break” has not been very clement with Trend Following for this month of July 2010. The composite index of the 12 “control” Trend Following systems that I check in this report shows a performance of -4.3%, with a few systems posting losses around the 15% mark.
Report Changes
As discussed last month, the system performances [...]

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Super Trend Following Index?

July 28th, 2010 · 3 Comments · Trend Following, Trend Following Wizards performance

I am firm believer in diversification, and so are most of the Trend Following Wizards tracked on the AuTraSy blog. How about applying diversification to the Trend Following Wizard funds themselves?
Instead of trying to see which funds performed best (as I did previously with the Geometric Information Ratio ranking), I wanted to see what sort [...]

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Better Trend Following via improved Roll Yield

July 26th, 2010 · 26 Comments · Futures, Strategies, Trend Following

To round off a series on backwardation, contango and roll yield (posts 1, 2 and 3), let’s put all this info together and use it in an innovative trading strategy to show how it can improve the performance of a Trend Following system by optimising its roll yield component (note: this could also be applied [...]

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Trend Following Wizards – June 2010

July 21st, 2010 · 2 Comments · Trend Following, Trend Following Wizards performance

June was a bit of a mixed bag in terms of performance for Trend Following Wizards.
The average monthly return is 0.29%, taking the average YTD figure to -1.48%, with a few Wizards being in the double-digit figures on both ends of the scale.
Note that three major players were added to the report this month: [...]

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the State of Trend Following in June

July 14th, 2010 · 4 Comments · Trend Following, the State of Trend Following

With some delay, here is the July update of the State of Trend Following report. With quite a few changes this month.
Most systems use ATR-based stops/position sizing and most used to be set at 5x ATR – regardless of the timeframe of the signal (ie. 20 to 200 days) – which was not making [...]

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