Most people will have heard of the mythical Turle Traders, a group of novice traders set up and mentored by legendary “Prince of the Pit” Richard Dennis.
Dennis did so to set up an old argument with fellow trader Bill Eckhardt on whether trading could be taught or not (not unlike the story in classic [...]
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Tags: eckhardt·optimisation·Richard Dennis·Trend Following·Turtle
- - - Note: Starting this month, I have created a dedicated feed solely for the Trend Following Wizards monthly updates. You can either access it via RSS or by subscribing by email. - - -
Not a good start of the year for Trend Followers – starting 2010 in the same way as 2009 closed: by very negative performances.
Well, [...]
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Tags: Abraham Trading·AHL·Aspect Capital·Bill Dunn·Chesapeake·Christian Baha·Clarke Capital·dave harding·Drury Capital·eckhardt·EMC Capital·Hawksbill·Howard Seidler·Hyman Beck·John W Henry·Larry Hite·Liz Cheval·Man·Millburn Ridgefield·Paul Rabar·Saxon Investment·Superfund·Tom Shanks·Transtrend·winton capital
Over the New Year break I read the illustrated Cartoon Guide to Statistics which was great to go over the basics of classical statistics, and the format makes it easy to pick it up for a few minutes reading. I have also been recommended, and bought Statistics Unplugged – which deals with the same topics [...]
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Tags: eckhardt·Market Wizards·Stats
Not a good year for Trend Followers! Closing December with a performance of -4.37% on average, most funds we follow “saw red” in 2009 (-7.3% on average). Well, this is part of the game: you have to risk (and lose) some to make some…
Even the “mammoth” funds that are Man or Transtrend finished the year [...]
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Tags: Abraham Trading·AHL·Aspect Capital·Bill Dunn·Chesapeake·Christian Baha·Clarke Capital·dave harding·Drury Capital·eckhardt·EMC Capital·Hawksbill·Howard Seidler·Hyman Beck·John W Henry·Larry Hite·Liz Cheval·Man·Millburn Ridgefield·Paul Rabar·Saxon Investment·Superfund·Tom Shanks·Transtrend·winton capital
Stepping back from the story of the cockroach and the cheetah, it seems that robustness is all about survival. For an automated trading system, this means the system “survives and thrives” after you decide to put it “live”.
However there are different ways to look at robustness in a mechanical trading system.
Different definitions for robustness
Trading [...]
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Tags: eckhardt·optimisation·robust
Excellent month for Trend Following Wizards: all are in the black with a 6.75% monthly gain on average!
It has been two months in a row that the Trend Following wizards exhibit very strong correlated results, which tends to reinforce the opinion that all trend following CTAs are not so different – except in terms of [...]
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Tags: Abraham Trading·AHL·Aspect Capital·Bill Dunn·Chesapeake·Christian Baha·Clarke Capital·dave harding·Drury Capital·eckhardt·EMC Capital·Hawksbill·Howard Seidler·Hyman Beck·John W Henry·Larry Hite·Liz Cheval·Man·Millburn Ridgefield·Paul Rabar·Saxon Investment·Superfund·Tom Shanks·Transtrend·winton capital
First of all, apologies for the lateness of this report. All funds reported below publish their results at different times of the month so I have to wait for all of them to publish.
We can see that there is still a “red sea” of negative performance in October, both for the monthly and YTD reporting. [...]
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Tags: Abraham Trading·AHL·Aspect Capital·Bill Dunn·Chesapeake·Christian Baha·Clarke Capital·dave harding·Drury Capital·eckhardt·EMC Capital·Hawksbill·Howard Seidler·Hyman Beck·John W Henry·Larry Hite·Liz Cheval·Man·Millburn Ridgefield·Paul Rabar·Saxon Investment·Superfund·Tom Shanks·Transtrend·winton capital
In order to progress, I believe you need to measure yourself against a benchmark or your competition…
What best than to track the best competition around?
As my primary goal is to build a systematic trend following system, every month I will follow and report the performance of Trend Following Wizards.
These are top of the range CTAs/Managed [...]
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Tags: Abraham Trading·AHL·Aspect Capital·Bill Dunn·Chesapeake·Christian Baha·Clarke Capital·dave harding·Drury Capital·eckhardt·EMC Capital·Hawksbill·Howard Seidler·Hyman Beck·John W Henry·Larry Hite·Liz Cheval·Man·Millburn Ridgefield·Paul Rabar·Saxon Investment·Superfund·Tom Shanks·Transtrend·winton capital