Systematic Trading research and development, with a flavour of Trend Following
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Trend Following Wizards – December 2011

January 18th, 2012 · Trend Following, Trend Following Wizards

This report closes the year 2011 for the Trend Following Wizards, which ended up – not so surprisingly – on the negative side.

The performance for December was virtually nil, leaving the composite index at -7.5% for the year. Apart from a handful of managers, most funds were in the red for 2011.

Interestingly, the funds “jockeying” for top position have quite different profiles, between “old-school” Dunn Capital, “new generation, sophisticated” Winton Capital and former Turtle Saxon Investment, who stopped trading in the last few months.

Please find below the full results:
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State of Trend Following in 2011

January 3rd, 2012 · the State of Trend Following, Trend Following

State of TF
 

Happy New Year to all readers of the blog! May 2012 bring you success and happiness in your trading (and other) endeavours.

Looking back at the year just past, performance was just “not there” for Trend Following in general in 2011. A minor gain in December for the State of Trend Following index did not manage to lift the index from the lows it was experiencing since October. Ultimately, the volatility experienced all year weighed down the index to push it in the red.

It was probably a case of good bet/losing year; and hopefully 2012 marks a return to rewarding the “good bets” we place in the markets.

Without further ado, please check below for more details. [Read more →]

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Trend Following Wizards – November 2011

December 19th, 2011 · Trend Following, Trend Following Wizards

Last report before the year comes to a close, and it seems that 2011 will end in the red for the Wizards.

November was marginally positive, leaving the YTD result well anchored in negative territory. Please find the detailed results below:

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State of Trend Following in November

December 5th, 2011 · the State of Trend Following, Trend Following

State of TF
 
A wide disparity in the individual system returns in this month’s edition of the State of Trend Following report, but globally a slightly positive month for the report index. This does not change the YTD situation very much, still deep in the red. Unless a dramatic Christmas reversal occurs, 2011 will most likely be negative for Trend Following

Please check below for more details: [Read more →]

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Trend Following Wizards – October

November 17th, 2011 · Trend Following, Trend Following Wizards

A strong negative return for the month, taking the average YTD return further in the red – with a few funds now in negative double-digit territory.

Not a good October for the Trend Following Wizards.

The old adage “Sell in May and go away [, stay away till St. Leger Day]” rings true for Trend Followers this year. Since the month of May, five out of the last six have been losing months.

We are now past Halloween (and St Leger Stakes) — does this mean that the next 6 months will provide nice trending markets for the Wizards? Only time will tell.

Please find the results as of end October 2011 below: [Read more →]

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State of Trend Following Report in Oct-11

November 7th, 2011 · the State of Trend Following, Trend Following

State of TF
 
October has not been kind to Trend Followers. If the debacle at MF Global was not enough, it also seems that the markets handed a “double whammy” with a strong down month from a performance point of view. The index is now clearly back in the red for 2011.

Please check below for more details:

Detailed Results

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