Systematic Trading research and development, with a flavour of Trend Following
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Entries from May 27th, 2010

Your worst Drawdown is yet to come

May 27th, 2010 · 4 Comments · Money Management

in this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes. Arguing against Ben Franklin, I would say it is certain your (and my) Max Drawdown so far – whether in real trading or backtest – will be surpassed in the future. The maths even say that the probability of any drawdown [...]

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Slippage – Take 3: Stop-Limit Orders

May 20th, 2010 · 7 Comments · Backtest

Another slippage post inspired by a reader’s comment (thanks to Eventhorizon this time). Stop-Limit Orders The idea is to use stop-limit orders in the Donchian Channel system to avoid slippage. The stop-limit orders would prevent the system from buying/selling above/below the entry breakout level – thus reducing entry slippage. Of course, with daily data, it [...]

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Follow-up on Slippage

May 17th, 2010 · 7 Comments · Backtest

The previous post on slippage generated very good comments and I decided to address some of the points discussed in a follow-up post. Slippage and Long-Term Systems Last post concluded with a question: How can you reduce slippage as a small trader? You might not be able to reduce slippage in absolute terms, but you [...]

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Trend Following Wizards – April 2010

May 12th, 2010 · 2 Comments · Fund Review, Trend Following Wizards

Follow the Trend Following Wizards updates with the dedicated monthly feed. You can either access it via RSS or by subscribing by email The recent turmoils developing in the markets will give us interesting times to monitor how the Trend Following Wizard performances fare. If 2008 is any indication, and if we return to large [...]

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Slippage: Are your back-testing results realistic?

May 10th, 2010 · 10 Comments · Backtest

Slippage can make or break your trading system. Hard to believe? Read on and check the tests and charts further below… We recently talked about some data pitfalls that can affect your trading and testing of mechanical systems. Slippage was not mentioned. However, this is a critical piece of data to integrate in your back-testing [...]

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April: a flat month for Trend Following

May 6th, 2010 · No Comments · the State of Trend Following, Trend Following

New month: new draft of the State of Trend Following report. April has been a slightly up-and-down month for Trend Following, and ended nearly flat. Let’s wait and see if this benchmark will keep in line with the Trend Following Wizards, as has been the case so far. Report Changes Still in beta, this report [...]

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